GENERAL SCIENTIFIC ACTIVITIES

Tuesday May 24, 2005

12:00 – 12:45

Registration

12:45 – 1:00

Introduction

1:00 - 2:00

Robert McAlpine, Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources
Forest Fire Management in Ontario - a Primer and Manager's perspective.

2:00 – 2:45

David Martell, University of  Toronto
Forest Fire Management - a Systems Modelling Perspective

2:45 – 3:00

Coffee Break

3:00 – 3:45

Mike Wotton, Canadian Forest Service -Natural Resource Canada
Using and interpreting output from the Canadian Forest Fire Danger Rating System

3:45 – 4:30

Larry Bradshaw, Fire Sciences Lab, MT
Basics of the National Fire Danger Rating System

4:30 – 5:00

Mike Wotton, University of Toronto
Methods for the prediction of forest fire occurrence in Ontario

5:00 – 6:00

Haiganoush Preisler, Southwest Research Station, USDA Forest
Some Statistical Issues in Predicting Wildland Fire Risk

6:00

Reception & Poster Session

Wednesday May 25, 2005

9:00-9:45

Rolf Turner, University of New Brunswick
Planar Point Pattern Analysis of New Brunswick Forest Fire Data

9:45 – 10:30

Andre Dabrowski, University of Ottawa
Modeling distances between ignitions

10:30-11:00

Coffee Break

11:00-12:00

Rick Schoenberg, UCLA
On the Estimation of Separable Point Processes and Possible Improvements to the Burning Index.

12:00 -1:30

Lunch Break

1:30 – 2:30

Brian Stocks, CFS
Fire in the Boreal Forest

2:30 – 3:00

Steve Cumming, Boreal Ecoystems Research Ltd

3:00 – 3:30

Coffee Break

3:30 – 4:00

Fangliang He, University of Alberta

4:00 – 4:30

Reg Kulperger, University of Western Ontario

4:30 – 5:00

Edward A. Johnson, University of Calgary
A Process Approach to Predicting Tree Mortality in Surface Fires

5:00 – 5:30

David Stanford, University of Western Ontario

5:30

Dinner Break

Thursday May 26, 2005

9:00 - 9:30

John Braun, University of Western Ontario

9:30 – 10:30

David Vere-Jones, Victoria University of Wellington and Statistical Research Associates Ltd.
Some Models and Procedures for Space-Time Point Processes

10:30-11:00

Coffee Break

11:00-12:00

David R. Brillinger, Statistics Department, University of California, Berkeley
Risk Analysis for Two Marked Point Process Data Sets

12:00 -1:30

Lunch Break

1:30 – 2:30

Domingos Xavier Viegas, University of Coimbra, Portugal
A Mathematical Model for Eruptive Fire Behaviour and Related Problems.

2:30 – 3:00

Fuensanta Saura Igual , Jaume I, Spain
Analysis of forest fires in Comunidad Valenciana (Spain) using a spatial statistics methodology

3:00 – 3:30

Coffee Break

3:30 – 4:00

Marie-Josee Fortin, University of Toronto
Deforestation in Québec northern boreal forest due to fire regime

4:00 – 4:30

Marcia L. Gumpertz, USDA Forest Service, Southern Research Station
Estimating the Effect Wildfire Management has on Fire Behavior: A Propensity-Score Matching Approach

4:30 – 5:00

David T. Butry, USDA Forest Service, Southern Research Station
Estimating the Effect Wildfire Management has on Fire Behavior: A Propensity-Score Matching Approach

5:30

Banquet

Friday May 27, 2005

9:00 – 10:00

Rafal Kulik, University of Ottawa
Tutorial on point processes

10:00 – 10:45

Dean Slonowsky, University of Manitoba
Set-Indexed Martingales: Tools for Multidimensional Stochastic Modelling and Anal

10:45-11:15

Coffee Break

11:15 – 12:00

Gail Ivanoff, University of Ottawa
What is a multiparameter renewal process?

12:00 -1:30

Lunch Break

1:30 – 2:15

Douglas Woolford, University of Western Ontario

2:15 – 3:00

Sylvia R. Esterby, UBC-Okanagan
Analysis of fire index data

3:00 – 3:30

Coffee Break

4:00 – 5:00

James Stafford, University of Toronto
NPCDS Planning

5:00

Dinner Break

Saturday May 27, 2005

9:00 – 9:30

John Braun, University of Western Ontario
NPCDS

9:30 – 10:30

Charmaine Dean, Simon Fraser University
Mixture Models for Spatio-Temporal Multi-State Processes

10:30 – 11:00

Coffee Break

11:00 – 12:00

NPCDS Planning

12:00 -1:30

Lunch Break

1:30 – 2:15

Irena Creed, University of Western Ontario

2:15 – 3:00

NPCDS Planning

3:00

Coffee Break