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                  Toronto Probability Seminar 2008-09 
                    held at the Fields Institute 
                  Organizers 
                    Bálint 
                    Virág , Benedek 
                    Valkó 
                    University of Toronto, Mathematics and Statistics  
                  
                  For questions, scheduling, or to be added to the mailing 
                    list, contact the organizers at: 
                    probsem-at-math-dot-toronto-dot-edu 
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                   2009 
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                   Speaker and Talk Title 
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                | Monday, April 6, 2009, 
                  4:10 pm | 
                Emmanuel Schertzer 
                  (Columbia) 
                  The Voter Model and the Potts Model in One Dimension  
                  The voter model can be seen as a simple model for describing 
                    the propagation of opinions in a population where neighbors 
                    influence each other. More precisely, every integer is assigned 
                    with an original opinion at time t=0 and then updates its 
                    opinion by taking on the opinion of one of its neighbors chosen 
                    uniformly at random with rate 1. In the first part of the 
                    talk, I will show that such a model can easily be described 
                    in terms of a system of coalescing random walks. In the second 
                    part of the talk, I will introduce a variation of the preceding 
                    model where the voters do not only change their mind under 
                    the influence of their environment, but where they are also 
                    able to come up with an opinion differing from their neighbors. 
                    This model is closely related to a classical model in statistical 
                    physics called the one dimensional stochastic Potts model. 
                    I will show that under the appropriate scaling, this model 
                    converges to a continuum object which can be constructed by 
                    a marking procedure of a family of coalescing Brownian motions. 
                  Joint work with C. Newman and K. Ravishankar. 
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                | Monday, March 30, 2009, 
                  4:10 pm | 
                Lionel Levine 
                  (MIT) 
                  Diamond Aggregation 
                  Start with n particles at the origin in Z^2, and let each 
                    perform a simple random walk until it reaches an unoccupied 
                    site. Lawler, Bramson and Griffeath proved that with high 
                    probability the resulting set of n occupied sites is close 
                    to a disk. The order of fluctuations from circularity remains 
                    an open problem. I'll describe a way of modifying slightly 
                    the law of the walk so that the limiting shape becomes a diamond 
                    instead of a disk. There is a natural one-parameter family 
                    of walks of this type, which exhibit a phase transition in 
                    the order of fluctuations. 
                  Joint work with Wouter Kager. 
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                | Monday, March 23, 2009, 
                  4:10 pm | 
                 
                   Gbor Pete (Toronto) 
                    Random walks on percolation clusters and percolation renormalization 
                    on groups. 
                  We show that for all $p > p_c(\Z^d)$ percolation parameters, 
                    the probability that the cluster of the origin is finite but 
                    is adjacent to the infinite cluster with at least $t$ edges 
                    is exponentially small in $t$. This result yields a simple 
                    proof that the isoperimetric profile of the infinite cluster 
                    basically coincides with the profile of the original lattice, 
                    which implies that simple random walk on the cluster behaves 
                    the same way. The same results hold for all finitely presented 
                    groups if $p$ is close enough to 1, but renormalization can 
                    be used on $\Z^d$ to get the full result. 
                  We also examine the possibility of renormalization on other 
                    groups. Itai Benjamini conjectured that if a group $G$ is 
                    scale-invariant in the sense that has a finite index subgroup 
                    chain $G = G_0 > G_1 > G_2 > \dots$ with $G_i\simeq 
                    G$ and $\bigcap_i G_i=\{1\}$, then it has to be of polynomial 
                    growth. In joint work with V. Nekrashevych, we have given 
                    several 
                    counterexamples: the lamplighter group $\Z_2 \wr \Z$, the 
                    solvable Baumslag-Solitar groups $BS(1,m)$, and the affine 
                    groups $\Z^d \rtimes GL(\Z,d)$ are all scale-invariant. 
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                | Monday, March 16, 2009, 
                  4:10 pm | 
                John Mayberry 
                  (Cornell) 
                  Evolution in Predator Prey Systems  
                  We shall discuss the adaptive dynamics of predator prey systems 
                    modeled by a dynamical system in which the characteristics 
                    are allowed to evolve by small random mutations. When only 
                    the prey are allowed to evolve, and the size of the mutational 
                    change tends to 0, the system does not exhibit prey coexistence 
                    and the parameters of the resident prey type converge to the 
                    solution of an ODE. When only the predators are allowed to 
                    evolve, coexistence of predators occurs. Depending on the 
                    parameters being varied we see (i) the number of coexisting 
                    predators remains tight and the differences of the parameters 
                    from a reference species converge in distribution to a limit, 
                    or (ii) the number of coexisting predators tends to infinity 
                    and we can study the evolving process of coexisting predator 
                    characteristics via connections with killed branching random 
                    walks and a Brunet-Derrida type branching-selection particle 
                    system. 
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                | Monday, March 9, 2009, 4:10 pm | 
                Ron Peled (NYU Courant) 
                  Gravitational Allocation of Poisson Points 
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                | Monday, March 2, 2009, 
                  4:10 pm | 
                Gidi Amir (University 
                  of Toronto)  
                  1-Dimensional Long Range Diffusion Limited Aggregation(DLA) 
                  Diffusion limited aggregation (DLA) in 2 or more dimensions 
                    is an infamously difficult model for the growth of a random 
                    fractal. In the model, a sequence of aggregates A_n is built 
                    on the square lattice, by starting with a single point A_0={0}, 
                    and adding one particle at each step.The position of the particle 
                    added at step n is chosen by starting a simple random walk 
                    from "infinity" (far away) and letting the walk 
                    wander until it becomes a neighbour of the current aggregate 
                    A_{n-1}, at which time it is stopped and added to the aggregate 
                    to form A_n. 
                  DLA was introduced in 1981 and attracted massive attention. 
                    (184,000 google hits). Even so, Kesten's 1987 upper bound 
                    on the diameter growth rate is almost the only proven result 
                    on it. 
                  We define a variation of DLA in one dimension. This becomes 
                    interesting when the random walk generating the DLA has arbitrary 
                    long jumps. It turns out that the growth rate of the aggregate 
                    depends on the step distribution and more specifically on 
                    the decay of the tail opf the undrlying random walk. In particular 
                    we show that there are at least three phase transitions in 
                    the behaviour when the step distribution has finite 1/2 moment, 
                    finite variance, and finite third moment. And more suprisingly 
                    that there seems to be no first-order phase transition when 
                    the walk goes from the transient to the recurrent regimn (finite 
                    expectation). 
                  If time permits, we will also discuss some results on the 
                    limit aggregate A_infinity, and show a transient random walk 
                    for which the aggregate eventually spans all points in Z. 
                  Joint work with Omer Angel, Itai Benjamini and Gadi Kozma. 
                   
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                | Monday, February 9, 
                  2009, 4:10 pm | 
                Grard Letac (Universit 
                  Paul Sabatier, Toulouse) 
                  The mean perimeter of some random plane convex sets generated 
                  by a Brownian motion  
                  If C_1 is the convex hull of the curve of the standard Brownian 
                    motion in the complex plane watched from time 0 to 1, and 
                    if w is an nth root of unity, we consider the convex hull 
                    C_n of C_1 \cup w C_1 \cup w^2 C_1 \cup \ldots \cup w^{n-1} 
                    C_1. 
                  For instance C_2 is the symmetrized convex hull of the Brownian 
                    curve. We compute the means of the perimeters of C_1, C_2, 
                    C_4 by elementary calculations as well as some other simple 
                    convex hulls. The computation of the means of the perimeter 
                    of C_3 and C_6 is more involved and is done by the computation 
                    of the distribution of the exit time by the standard Brownian 
                    motion of the fundamental domain for symmetry groups in Euclidean 
                    spaces. 
                  Joint work with Philippe Biane. 
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                | Monday, February 2, 
                  2009, 4:10 pm | 
                 
                   Tom Alberts, University of Toronto 
                    Bridge Decomposition of Restriction Measures 
                  In the early 60s Kesten showed that self-avoiding walk in 
                    the upper half plane has a decomposition into an i.i.d. sequence 
                    of "irreducible bridges". Loosely defined, a bridge 
                    is a self-avoiding path that achieves its minimum and maximum 
                    heights at the start and end of the path (respectively), and 
                    it is irreducible if it contains no smaller bridges.  
                    Considering only the 2-dimensional case, one can ask if the 
                    (likely) scaling limit of self-avoiding walk, the SLE(8/3) 
                    process, also has such a decomposition. I will talk about 
                    recent work with Hugo Duminil from Ecole Normale Superieure 
                    that provides a positive answer, using only the restriction 
                    property of SLE(8/3). In the end we are able to decompose 
                    the SLE(8/3) path as a Poisson Point Process on the space 
                    of irreducible bridges, in a way that is similar to Ito's 
                    excursion decomposition of a Brownian motion according to 
                    its zeros. Our decomposition can actually be generalized beyond 
                    SLE(8/3) and applied to an entire family of "restriction 
                    measures", hence the title of the talk. If time permits 
                    I will also talk about the natural time parameterization for 
                    SLE(8/3), which has immediate applications towards the bridge 
                    decomposition. 
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                | Monday, January 26, 
                  2009, 4:10 pm | 
                Gbor Pete (Toronto) 
                  The scaling limits of dynamical and near-critical percolation, 
                  and the Minimal Spanning Tree  
                  Let each site of the triangular lattice, with small mesh 
                    Q$\eta$, have an independent Poisson clock with a certain 
                    rate $r(Q\eta) = \eta^{3/4+o(1)}$ switching between open and 
                    closed. Then, at any given moment, the configuration  
                    is just critical percolation; in particular, the probability 
                    of a left-right open crossing in the unit square is close 
                    to 1/2. Furthermore, because of the scaling, the expected 
                    number of switches in unit time between having a crossing 
                    or not is of unit order. 
                  We prove that the limit (as $\eta \to 0$) of the above process 
                    exists as a Markov process, and it is conformally covariant: 
                    if we change the domain with a conformal map $\phi(z)$, then 
                    time has to be scaled locally by $|\phi'(z)|^{3/4}$. The same 
                    proof yields a similar result for near-critical percolation, 
                    and it also shows that the scaling limit of (a version of) 
                    the Minimal Spanning Tree exists, it is invariant under translations, 
                    rotations and scaling, but *probably* not under general conformal 
                    maps. 
                  Joint work with Christophe Garban and Oded Schramm. 
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                | Monday, January 19, 2009, 4:10 pm | 
                Manjunath Krishnapur 
                  Limiting Spectral Distributions of Non-Hermitian Random Matrices | 
               
               
                | Monday, January 12, 2009, 4:10 pm | 
                Senya Shlosman, (Lumini) 
                  Phase transitions in systems with continuous symmetries | 
               
               
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                   2008 
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                   Speaker and Talk Title 
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                | Monday, November 29, 
                  2008, 4:10 pm | 
                 
                   Pierre Nolin (Courant institute) 
                    Universality of some random shapes: inhomogeneity and SLE(6) 
                  The physicists Gouyet, Rosso and Sapoval introduced in 1985 
                    a model of inhomogeneous medium, known as "Gradient Percolation", 
                    to show numerical evidence that diffusion fronts are fractal. 
                    They measured the dimension  
                    7/4, which can be observed in many other situations. We will 
                    discuss how one can prove mathematically the appearance of 
                    "universal" random shapes related to SLE(6) when 
                    some inhomogeneity - a density gradient - is  
                    present. In particular we will show that fractal interfaces 
                    of dimension 7/4 spontaneously arise. 
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                Tuesday Oct. 14, 2008, 
                   
                  4:10 PM | 
                Gideon Amir (University 
                  of Toronto) 
                  The speed process of the Tottaly Assymetric Simple Exclusion 
                  Process  
                  We study the exclusion process on Z where each particle is 
                    assigned a class (number in Z) and each particle tries to 
                    swap places with its right neighbour with rate 1 if that neighbor 
                    has a higher class number. (Alternatively each edge of Z is 
                    "sorted" with rate 1). With the right starting conditions, 
                    the position of each particle(Normalized by the time) converges 
                    to a constant speed. The speed of each particle is uniform 
                    in [-1,1], but there are strong dependencies between the behaviour 
                    of different particles. We study this exclusion process and 
                    the distribution of its related speed process. In particular 
                    we show the exsistence of infinite "convoys" - particles 
                    (with different classes) all converging to the same speed. 
                    We also give some new symmetries for the multi-type TASEP. 
                    Some of our results apply to the partially asymmetric case 
                    as well. 
                  This is joint work with Omer Angel and Benedek Valko (until 
                    recently from Uof  
                    T, now at UBC and university of Wisconsin) 
                  All definitions will be given in the lecture. No prior knowledge 
                    of exclusion  
                    processes is assumed. 
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                Tuesday Oct. 14, 2008, 
                   
                  1:00 PM 
                  Room 230 
                  *Note: Unusual Date and Time | 
                Jeff Steif, Chalmers 
                  Institute of Technology, Sweden 
                  Dynamical sensitivity of the infinite cluster in critical 
                  percolation. 
                  We look at dynamical percolation in the case where percolation 
                    occurs at criticality. For spherically symmetric trees, if 
                    the expected number of vertices at the n-th level connecting 
                    to the root is of the order n(log n)^\alpha, then if \alpha 
                    > 2, there are no exceptional times of nonpercolation while 
                    if is in (1,2), there are such exceptional times. (An older 
                    result of R. Lyons tells us that percolation occurs at a fixed 
                    time if and only if \alpha >1.) It turns out that within 
                    the regime where there are no exceptional times, there is 
                    another type of ``phase transition'' in the behavior of the 
                    process. If the expected number of vertices at the n-th level 
                    connecting to the root is of the form n^\alpha, then if \alpha 
                    > 2,the number of connected components of the set of times 
                    in [0,1] at which the root is not percolating is finite a.s. 
                    while if \alpha is in (1,2), then the number of such components 
                    is infinite with positive probability. This is joint work 
                    with Yuval Peres and Oded Schramm. 
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                Monday Sep 29, 2008, 
                   
                  4:30 PM 
                  Stewart Library | 
                 
                   Tom Alberts, University of Toronto 
                    Dimension and Measure of SLE on the Boundary 
                  In the range 4 < kappa < 8, it is well known that the 
                    intersection of a chordal SLE(kappa) curve with the real line 
                    is a highly irregular fractal set with Hausdorff dimension 
                    between zero and one. In this talk I describe the dimension 
                    and measure of this set. There are two main parts. In the 
                    first part the Hausdorff dimension is proven to be almost 
                    surely d := 2 - 8/kappa. This is done by using various tools 
                    from the theory of conformal mappings to derive an asymptotic 
                    upper bound on the probability that two disjoint intervals 
                    on the real line are hit by the curve, as the interval widths 
                    go to zero. In the second part an abstract appeal is made 
                    to the Doob-Meyer decomposition theorem to construct a measure-valued 
                    function mu of the curve that is almost surely supported on 
                    the intersection of the curve with the line. The measure gives 
                    a local description of the structure of the set that provides 
                    much finer information than just the Hausdorff dimension. 
                    Properties of the measure are then derived, along with a ``d-dimensional'' 
                    transformation rule between domains. Finally it is shown that 
                    mu, under some mild additional assumptions, is the unique 
                    measure-valued function of SLE(kappa) curves that satisfies 
                    a Domain Markov property arising from the transformation rule. 
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                Monday Sep 15, 2008,  
                  4:10 PM 
                  Stewart Library | 
                Siva Athreya (Indian Statistical 
                  Institute) 
                  Survival of the contact process on the hierarchical group | 
               
             
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