Workshop on Evolving Marked Point Processes with Application to Wildland Fire Regime Modeling
Overview
High-profile wildland urban interface wildfires in Canada have heightened awareness and concern surrounding wildland fires on populated landscapes. For example, the 2003 Kelowna and McLure fires in BC led to approximately \$200 million in insurance claims and \$400 million in suppression costs, while the 2011 fire in the town of Slave Lake, AB led to approximately \$700 million in insurance claims. The economic and social impacts of wildfire in Canada raise important statistical questions. Fire suppression has been undertaken in large parts of Canadas boreal forest for many decades. In some areas of Canada, fuel is actively managed through the use of prescribed fire and residential "Fire Smart" practices. Are these activities leading to a meaningful reduction in the risk of large, out of control fire events that threaten communities? Once an area has burned, does it reduce that local areas risk of burning and if so, for how long and can such e.ects be replicated by fuel management? What ecological and forest management strategies are needed to maintain the current landscape mosaic and levels of biodiversity while protecting people, property and other values at risk? What levels of risk are acceptable for populated areas located near flammable landscapes? Canadian forest fire management agencies keep detailed historical records on fires, weather and fire suppression. These large and complex spatio-temporal data sets provide a rich set of information for investigating the above questions through the development and application of sophisticated statistical methodology.
The objective of the proposed workshop is interim dissemination and planning for the CANSSI forestry initiative. Preliminary results from team members and their students will be presented to partner organizations which will help steer the focus for the remainder of the project.
With support from:
Schedule
11:20 |
Cordy Tymstra, University of Alberta |
13:30 to 14:00 |
Steve Taylor, Pacific Forestry Centre |
14:00 |
Neal McLoughlin, Government of Alberta |
15:30 |
Valerie Isham, University College London |
09:00 |
Joyce Yuan, University of St Andrews |
10:30 |
Colin McFayden, MNRF |
13:30 |
Session 7: Planning discussion for ongoing project work
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