Workshop on Global Sensitivity Analysis (Uncertainty Quantification) and Parameter Estimation
Description
Uncertainty quantification (UQ) has become an extremely useful tool in determining sensitivity of complex models. However when the parameter space becomes large these analytical tools have been shown to provide difficulty in generating a converged solution. This workshop will look at the fundamental mathematical tools required to investigate parameter space with the UQ environment. It will be run by Professor Pierre Gremaud (North Carolina State Univ), an international expert in UQ. It is expected that problems will be set to encourage investigation. In addition during the week round table discussions will be set up to talk about the problems of large parameter space problems and the possible solution methods.
Please register online here.
Schedule
| 09:30 to 10:00 | 
           Introduction 
          Tim David, University of Canterbury                    | 
      
| 10:00 to 10:30 | 
           Models with uncertain parameters : Examples from Principles of Cell modeling  
          Tim David, University of Canterbury                    | 
      
| 10:30 to 11:00 | 
           Coffee break 
                             | 
      
| 11:00 to 12:30 | 
           Simple Cell Models (Goldbeter / Ermentrout) 
          Tim David, University of Canterbury                    | 
      
| 12:30 to 14:00 | 
           Lunch break 
                             | 
      
| 14:00 to 15:00 | 
           Complex Models 
          Tim David, University of Canterbury                    | 
      
| 15:00 to 15:30 | 
           Coffee break 
                             | 
      
| 15:30 to 16:00 | 
           Parameter values and assumed pdf s 
          Tim David, University of Canterbury                    | 
      
| 16:00 to 16:30 | 
           Summary 
          Tim David, University of Canterbury                    | 
      
| 09:30 to 10:30 | 
           Introduction to random ODEs 
          Pierre Gremaud, North Carolina State University                    | 
      
| 10:30 to 11:00 | 
           Coffee break 
                             | 
      
| 11:00 to 12:30 | 
           Methods of distribution for random ODEs 
          Pierre Gremaud, North Carolina State University                    | 
      
| 12:30 to 14:00 | 
           Lunch break 
                             | 
      
| 14:00 to 15:00 | 
           Surrogate models from non parametric statistic 
          Pierre Gremaud, North Carolina State University                    | 
      
| 15:00 to 15:30 | 
           Coffee break 
                             | 
      
| 15:30 to 16:00 | 
           Surrogate models from applied mathematics 
          Pierre Gremaud, North Carolina State University                    | 
      
| 16:00 to 16:30 | 
           Summary 
          Pierre Gremaud, North Carolina State University                    | 
      
| 09:30 to 10:30 | 
           Introduction to global sensitivity analysis (GSA) 
          Pierre Gremaud, North Carolina State University                    | 
      
| 10:30 to 11:00 | 
           Coffee break 
                             | 
      
| 11:00 to 12:30 | 
           Variance based GSA methods 
          Pierre Gremaud, North Carolina State University                    | 
      
| 12:30 to 14:00 | 
           Lunch break 
                             | 
      
| 14:00 to 15:00 | 
           Derivative based GSA methods 
          Pierre Gremaud, North Carolina State University                    | 
      
| 15:00 to 15:30 | 
           Coffee break 
                             | 
      
| 15:30 to 16:30 | 
           Examples and summary 
          Pierre Gremaud, North Carolina State University                    | 
      
| 18:00 to 20:00 | 
           Dinner (Location: Via Mercanti, 87 Elm Street, Toronto, ON) 
                             | 
      
| 09:30 to 10:30 | 
           Summary/ questions from the previous days lectures 
          Tim David, University of Canterbury                    | 
      
| 10:30 to 11:00 | 
           Coffee break 
                             | 
      
| 11:00 to 12:30 | 
           Discussion on problems with parameter vectors of large dimension 
          Tim David, University of Canterbury                    | 
      
| 12:30 to 14:00 | 
           Lunch break 
                             | 
      
| 14:00 to 14:30 | 
          
           Joshua Chang, National Institutes of Health                    | 
      
| 14:30 to 15:00 | 
          
           Fei Zong, Mathematical and Statistical Sciences                    | 
      
| 15:00 to 15:30 | 
           Coffee break 
                             | 
      
| 15:30 to 16:00 | 
           Summary 
          Tim David, University of Canterbury                    | 
      
| 09:30 to 10:30 | 
           Discussion on possible new research areas   
                             | 
      
| 10:30 to 11:00 | 
           Coffee break 
                             | 
      
| 11:00 to 12:30 | 
           Discussion on possible new research areas   
                             | 
      
| 12:30 to 14:00 | 
           Lunch break 
                             | 
      
| 14:00 to 15:00 | 
           Discussion on possible new research areas   
                             | 
      
| 15:00 to 15:30 | 
           Coffee break 
                             | 
      
| 15:30 to 16:30 | 
           Discussion on possible new research areas   
                             | 
      


