Fields-CFI Roundtable on Trade War Fallout: Economic Scenarios and Policy Modelling for Canada
Description
The Fields Directorate and Centre for Financial Industries is convening a roundtable to explore collaborative modelling initiatives aimed at informing Canada's policy response to the economic fallout of the global trade war. With rising protectionism and intensifying tariff regimes, Canadian policymakers face urgent questions about economic resilience, trade diversification, sectoral exposure, and long-term competitiveness.
This roundtable will gather a cross-disciplinary group of economists, mathematical and computational modellers, trade experts, statisticians, and public policy leaders. Participants will examine a range of scenario-driven outcomes—from temporary trade disruptions and resource bottlenecks to structural realignments in global economic partnerships.
The workshop will serve as the first step towards co-authoring a whitepaper that outlines strategic risks, modelling priorities, and policy-ready insights. The goal is to chart a forward- looking, evidence-based framework for informing policy, economic resilience and trade adaptation in an era of geopolitical uncertainty.
We envision that this roundtable will shape an evolving conversation on how best to leverage Canada’s research capacity to deliver robust, data-informed policy solutions at a time of heightened volatility.
Featured Speakers & Panelists:
Dr. Ben Tomlin - Senior Research Director, International Department, Bank of Canada
Dr. Richard Baldwin - Professor of international economics at IMD Business School in Lausanne and founder and editor-in-chief of VoxEU.org
Dr. James Partridge - Head, Risk development and implementation, Moodys. North America & Europe
Dr. Jordan Brennan - Head, Thought Leadership, Royal Bank of Canada
Mr. Julian Karaguesian - Economic Advisor, McGill, Ministry of Finance, OECD
Dr. Brett House - Professor, Columbia Business School, Senior Fellow, UofT Munk School of Global Affairs & Public Policy, Former Deputy Chief Economist, Scotiabank
Ms. Myha Truong-Regan - Co-founder, TIG
Dr. Walid Mnif - Senior Leader in Quantitative Advanced Analytics & AI/ML
Dr. Adam Metzler - Director, Centre for Financial Industries, Associate Professor, Mathematics, Wilfrid Laurier University, Senior Researcher at Canada’s Financial Wellness Lab
Dr. Ross Griffiths, Vice President, Non-retail Model Development, TD Bank
Please make sure to register here. Please note that there is a imited capacity and early registration is advised.
Schedule
| 09:00 to 09:30 |
Doors Open
|
| 09:30 to 09:40 |
Opening Remarks
Dr. Deirdre Haskell, The Fields Institute, Dr. Adam Metzler, Director, Centre for Financial Industries |
| 09:40 to 10:10 |
TBD
Dr. Richard Baldwin - Professor of international economics at IMD Business School in Lausanne and founder and editor-in-chief of |
| 10:10 to 10:40 |
National Accounts and Trade
Dr. Brett House - Senior Fellow, UofT Munk School of Global Affairs & Public Policy, Former Deputy Chief Economist, Scotiabank |
| 10:40 to 11:10 |
TBD
Dr. James Partridge - Head, Risk development and implementation, Moodys. North America & Eur |
| 11:10 to 11:25 |
Coffee Break
|
| 11:25 to 11:55 |
TBD
Dr. Jordan Brennan Head, Thought Leadership, Royal Bank of Canada |
| 11:55 to 12:25 |
TBD
Dr. Ben Tomlin - Senior Research Director, International Department, Bank of Canada |
| 12:35 to 13:40 |
Lunch Break
|
| 13:30 to 14:20 |
Panel Discussion
Dr. Ross Griffiths, Myha Truong-Regan, Dr. Adam Metzler, Dr. Julian Karaguesian, Dr. Matt Davison, Dr. Walid Mnif |
| 14:20 to 15:00 |
Break-out Groups Session 1
|
| 15:00 to 15:20 |
Coffee Break
|
| 15:20 to 16:00 |
Break-out Groups Session 2
|
| 16:00 to 16:25 |
Group Reports and Next Steps
|
| 16:25 to 16:30 |
Closing Remarks
|
